Alaska Air Group

ALK Airlines & Travel 5/10 Medium Risk

5/10

— 4 → 5 over 22 weeks

Sector avg: 4.1/10

Alaska Air Group carries $5.1B in long-term debt, with $5.1B in scheduled principal maturities. DebtCanary scores ALK at 5/10, indicating moderate refinancing pressure.

Maturity Schedule

As of 2026-03-31 (latest SEC filing with maturity data). Debt actions taken after this date will only appear once SEC processes the relevant XBRL filing.

Period	Amount Due	% of Total
Year 1 (0-12 months)	$773M	15.1%
Year 2 (12-24 months)	$337M	6.6%
Year 3 (24-36 months)	$886M	17.3%
Year 4 (36-48 months)	$276M	5.4%
Year 5 (48-60 months)	$268M	5.2%
Beyond 5 Years	$2.6B	50.4%
Total Scheduled Maturities	$5.1B	100.0%

Key Metrics

Total Long-Term Debt

$5.1B

Near-Term (12mo)

$773M

Interest Coverage

2.5x

Debt/Equity

1.36

Cash Coverage

0.58x

Operating Income

$303M

EBITDA

$1.1B

Debt / EBITDA

4.6x

EBITDA / Interest

9.1x

Refinancing Cost Shock

If Alaska Air Group refinanced the $1.1B due within 24 months at today's market yields, its annual interest bill would change by an estimated +$35M/year — about 11.5% of operating income.

Show the full calculation

Debt due within 24 months (Year 1 + Year 2 buckets): $1.1B

Current average rate = interest expense / interest-bearing debt = $121M / $5.6B = 2.16%

Synthetic rating bucket from coverage (EBITDA/interest 9.1x, operating income/interest 2.5x): A

Market yield for A bucket (ICE BofA via FRED, 2026-07-23): 5.29% (BAMLC0A3CAEY)

Rate change: 5.29% − 2.16% = +3.13 pp

Annual cost change: +3.13% × $1.1B = +$35M/yr

As share of operating income ($303M): 11.5%

Index-level estimate, not issuer-level bond pricing: the rating bucket is inferred from interest coverage (not an agency rating), and actual new-issue pricing depends on tenor, security, and market conditions. See the methodology.

Hidden future pain — added interest run-rate as the schedule rolls

+1yr

+$24M/yr (8.0%)

+2yr

+$35M/yr (11.5%)

+3yr

+$62M/yr (20.6%)

+4yr

+$71M/yr (23.5%)

+5yr

+$80M/yr (26.2%)

Cumulative run-rate change once all debt maturing by each horizon has refinanced. Assumes yields hold. Market-wide view on the Hidden Future Pain page.

What if yields move? market yield 5.29% (+0 bps)

24-month wall refinanced at that yield: = of operating income

Compare across all companies on the Refinancing Cliff Map →

How This Score Was Computed

Weighted average of 4 scored components (raw 5.40, rounded to 5). Weights of skipped components are redistributed proportionally among those scored.

Component	Value	Sub-Score	Weight Used
Near-Term Maturity Concentration Show calculation Year-1 maturities / Total scheduled maturities Year-1 maturities: $773M Total scheduled maturities: $5.1B	15.1%	5/10	30%
Interest Coverage Ratio Show calculation Operating income / Interest expense Operating income: $303M Interest expense: $121M	2.50x	5/10	25%
Debt-to-Equity Ratio Show calculation Long-term debt / Stockholders' equity Long-term debt: $5.1B Stockholders' equity: $3.7B	1.36	5/10	25%
Cash Coverage of Near-Term Debt Show calculation Cash & equivalents / Debt due within 12 months Cash & equivalents: $451M Near-term debt: $773M	0.58x	7/10	20%
Cash Runway Only scored when a company is burning cash. Operating cash flow is positive (or unreported), so runway isn't a constraint.	N/A	—	not scored

"Weight Used" shows each component's share after the weights of unscored components are redistributed. Full thresholds and formulas are on the methodology page.

Recent SEC Filings

Material disclosures from Alaska Air Group's most recent EDGAR filings. 8-K item labels indicate the type of event reported.

Date	Form	Details
2026-07-21	8-K	Earnings Results, Reg FD Disclosure
2026-06-17	8-K	Officer / Director Change, Reg FD Disclosure
2026-06-03	8-K	Officer / Director Change, Reg FD Disclosure
2026-05-14	8-K	Shareholder Vote
2026-05-12	8-K	Material Agreement, New Debt Obligation
2026-05-07	8-K	Other Events
2026-05-07	10-Q	Quarterly report
2026-05-06	8-K	Other Events

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Data Source: Financial data sourced from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (10-K annual reports). Fiscal period end: 2026-03-31. Filing date: 2026-05-07. Data last fetched: 2026-07-26. Maturity schedules reflect the company's most recently reported debt repayment obligations. Data quality: Complete.
View SEC EDGAR filings for Alaska Air Group →